| May 20th, 2009 by Joshua Weinberger |
Continuing with Day 2 of the 3rd International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media in San Jose this week.
For tweets from other #AAAI / #ICWSM attendees, check the Summize results here. Follow Jessica’s tweets at http://twitter.com/jesstsai
Tue May 19 9:01:57 Speaking: Duncan Watts, Yahoo! Research, “Using the Web to do Social Science.”
Tue May 19 13:38:15 ”How does [system] design impact online community culture?” Panel Discussion
Tue May 19 15:05:13 Now Speaking: Tad Hogg, HP Labs, “Stochastic Models of User-Contributory Websites”
Tue May 19 15:31:42 Up Now: Christian Wolff, University of Regensburg, Germany, “Personal Information Mgmt vs. Resource Sharing”
Tue May 19 15:59:09 Next Up: Oded Nov, Polytechnic Insti. of NYU, “Motivational, Structural and Tenure Factors that Impact Online Community Photo Sharing
Tue May 19 16:55:57 Final Session: Michaela Götz, Cornell Univ., “Modeling Blog Dynamics”
[Details after the break...]
Tue May 19 8:59:45 Join the ICWSM group online at Crowdvine
Tue May 19 9:01:57 Speaking: Duncan Watts, Yahoo! Research, “Using the Web to do Social Science.”
Tue May 19 9:15:31 “My real interest is to think of the Web as a *tool* for social science research” – Watts
Tue May 19 9:16:36 dynamics of networks: Individual level has a lot of turnover and change, but evens out and stabilize at aggregate level – Watts
Tue May 19 9:18:13 Watts asks why are there “cultural hits” in the market – difficult to predict what will be popular
Tue May 19 9:23:19 Hypothesis: inequality and unpredictability derives from “social influence” – Why pay attention to others? Learn what u may not know
Tue May 19 9:25:34 Study: Created [social environment] Music Labs. Recruited 28K people for study. Presented with 48 songs by unknown bands
Tue May 19 9:27:58 Song in the Top 10 got more listens. Not surprised that indiv. influence each other, but what consequences are for market formation
Tue May 19 9:29:45 “Inherent unpredictability” – No matter how much information you have, you still won’t be able to predict effect of social influence
Tue May 19 9:32:35 Implications of Music Lab: it’s possible to study emergence experimentally – would be difficult to do in offline world
Tue May 19 9:37:42 Some argue that Americans are increasingly sorting themselves into like-minded comm. – Bad thing bc we don’t learn/exchange ideas
Tue May 19 9:40:06 Goel, Mason, Watts, develop “Friend Sense” Application – Quiz to see how well you know your “friends”
Tue May 19 9:40:54 Perception and reality not in line;Model ur friends & projection bias. Ppl are really terrible at knowing when their friends disagree
Tue May 19 9:44:19 Watts’ study raises the question of how much individuals really influence each other
Tue May 19 9:45:55 Watts’ next study: Performance-based pay better than fixed-pay? Can you get better work with better pay?
Tue May 19 9:50:49 Amazon Mechanical Turk (AMT) – current leading platform from crowd sourcing.
Tue May 19 9:53:09 People always think they’re being underpaid no matter how much they’re being paid.
Tue May 19 9:54:01 “Anchoring effect” responsible for lack of impact on accuracy/quality.
Tue May 19 9:55:42 Would you work harder if your employer doubled your pay? Most people think they’re already working hard enough.–Watts
Tue May 19 9:56:37 All platforms (Facebook, AMT, Email networks, Web) offer new tools to study social interactions and collective dynamics. – Watts
Tue May 19 10:49:03 “Networks have gone from being too small to too big in a blink of an eye” – Watts
Tue May 19 13:38:15 “How does [system] design impact online community culture?” Panel Discussion #ICWSM
Tue May 19 13:41:25 Panelists: Cathy Gill, Lukas Biewald, Dolores Labs; Rashmi Sinha, SlideShare; Cameron Marlow, Facebook
Tue May 19 13:42:38 Correction: Moderator – Kathy Gill, Senior Lecturer, University of Washington
Tue May 19 13:53:51 Q: Biggest predictor of your activity? a) Distribution; b) Feedback? c) What Your Friend’s Are Doing? A: C – Marlow
Tue May 19 14:06:42 Moderator Question: Tell us a time when a behavior was not what you expected, and what did you learn from that?
Tue May 19 14:07:30 ”You know when someone untags a photo, it’s probably not accidental.” -Marlow
Tue May 19 14:08:30 How do you balance intuition+data in developing new features?
Tue May 19 14:08:53 Sinha: Start with intuition, then become more data driven.On a SNS, so much opp to listen to ppl talk, see how they’re using it, react
Tue May 19 14:09:34 When do you know you should rollback a feature? The first minute people say they hate it? Or wait?
Tue May 19 14:13:49 Sometimes you get emotionally attached, hold onto features longer than should have. You should roll back pretty quickly – Sinha
Tue May 19 14:16:50 The advantage of SNS is that you can get qualitative feedback directly from users; run experiments on features that way – Biewald
Tue May 19 14:20:52 ”The best job we can do is making sure ppl in charge of making decisions are aware of all biases in [design systems]” – Marlow
Tue May 19 14:23:50 Hashtags on Twitter are “Distributed conversations” anyone can track. Really scalable convos, more than any other mechanism. – Sinha
Tue May 19 15:00:40 Startups and smaller orgs have a better chance of staying in touch with their user communities – Gill
Tue May 19 15:05:13 Now Speaking: Tad Hogg, HP Labs, “Stochastic Models of User-Contributory Websites”
Tue May 19 15:16:34 Hogg is focusing on the phenomenology of Digg (users submit/vote on stories they like & friend those they want to follow).
Tue May 19 15:30:37 Reasons users vote for story not available on Digg. Conjectures: story topic, novelty, popularity – Hogg
Tue May 19 15:31:42 Up Now: Christian Wolff, University of Regensburg, Germany, “Personal Information Mgmt vs. Resource Sharing”
Tue May 19 15:34:09 Focus of talk is on “tagging motivations – why do people tag and how does motivation differ from platform to platform” -Wolff
Tue May 19 15:38:35 Tagging – a fourth layer of indexing, behind 1) author keywords; 2) intellectual indexing by prof.; 3) automatic indexing
Tue May 19 15:40:02 Wolff finds tags are usually noun oriented, almost all tags reflect aspects of content, instead of time, task, emotion, sentiment
Tue May 19 15:42:09 Amazon’s Mechanical Turk seems to be a preferred platform for these social studies
Tue May 19 15:54:40 Not surprising: Youtube & Flickr more for Resource Sharing, while Delicious and Connetea are more for Personal Information Mgmt (PIM)
Tue May 19 15:58:16 More to be done in helping people to better organize tags (e.g., auto tagging suggestions, teach professional classification systems)
Tue May 19 15:59:09 Next Up: Oded Nov, Polytechnic Insti. of NYU, “Motivational, Structural and Tenure Factors that Impact Online Community Photo Sharing
Tue May 19 16:00:15 “Why do people share stuff in online communities?” – Nov
Tue May 19 16:00:56 “If you don’t have users sharing goods, you don’t have community.” – Nov
Tue May 19 16:01:44 Understanding *why* they share is essential to know how to sustain the community — Nov
Tue May 19 16:04:43 2005 paper by @dweinberger [David Weinberger] on “Tagging and Why It Matters”
Tue May 19 16:11:16 Content “creation” is independent of “sharing” – Nov
Tue May 19 16:15:32 The more contacts you have, the more likely you’ll do what is expected of you in context of community (e.g., share photos on Flickr)
Tue May 19 16:17:28 People share less the longer they’re in the community – Nov
Tue May 19 16:18:38 Enjoyment (r=.022) not statistically significant in sharing; conflicts with user self-reports that enjoyment is primary reason – Nov
Tue May 19 16:20:29 Enjoyment may lie more in the “creation” rather than the “sharing” – Nov
Tue May 19 16:25:13 Negative correlation btwn “self-development” (-.182) and sharing: Nov suspects that discrepancy comes from quality/quantity trade-off
Tue May 19 16:55:57 Final Session: Michaela Götz, Cornell Univ., “Modeling Blog Dynamics”
Wed May 20 17:00:57 Find Gotz’s research here
Wed May 20 17:02:17 Gotz proposes “Zero-crossing (ZC)” model that eval. inter-posting time, “burstiness” of posting activity, and popularity over time.
Wed May 20 17:04:21 Gotz says the model could be used for forecasting, viral marketing campaigns, and Web advertising, but admits it may be a “long shot”
Wed May 20 17:06:50 ”Poster-Demo Madness” Session – each presenter has ONE minute to whet our appetites


